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Athletic Bilbao logo
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Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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Real Valladolid logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 33
Apr 27, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Celta Vigo logo

Alaves
3 - 0
Celta Vigo

Simeone (48'), Guridi (54'), Benavidez (86')
Duarte (19'), Blanco (22'), Sivera (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perez (21'), Mingueza (85'), Alvarez (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 2-0 Atletico
Sunday, April 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 4-1 Las Palmas
Saturday, April 20 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Celta Vigo

Alaves have only lost six of their 16 home league matches this season, and this will not be an easy game for Celta. The Sky Blues have won five of their last six meetings in Spain's top flight, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
43.34% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 27.8% (0.0030000000000001 0) 28.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.04% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)58.97% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.56% (-0.012 -0.01)79.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.02% (0.0020000000000095 0)26.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.67% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.33% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)36.27% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.023 -0.02)73.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 43.34%
    Celta Vigo 28.86%
    Draw 27.8%
AlavesDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.52%
2-0 @ 8.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.22%
4-0 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 43.34%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.79% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.8%
0-1 @ 9.93%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 28.86%

How you voted: Alaves vs Celta Vigo

Alaves
34.9%
Draw
30.2%
Celta Vigo
34.9%
43
Head to Head
Sep 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Celta Vigo
1-1
Alaves
Marin (35' og.)
de la Torre (15'), Aspas (52'), Beltran (52'), Strand Larsen (69'), Perez (75')
de la Torre (68')
Omorodion (73')
Lopez (78'), Rioja (90+5'), Marin (90+2')
May 7, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Celta Vigo
4-0
Alaves
Galhardo (6'), Aspas (34', 66'), Navarro (57' og.)
Cervi (42')

N'Diaye (24'), Pina (38'), Mendez (53')
Navarro (64')
Nov 27, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-2
Celta Vigo
Joselu (21')
Duarte (32'), Lejeune (38'), Aguirregabiria (57')
Mina (11'), Aspas (70')
Mendez (50'), Tapia (85')
Apr 4, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 29
Alaves
1-3
Celta Vigo
Lejeune (86')
Laguardia (20'), Lejeune (52'), Navarro (65'), Mendez (85')
Nolito (8'), Aspas (14'), Mina (20')
Murillo (2'), Aidoo (24'), Vazquez (86'), Mallo (90+3')
Murillo (54')
Dec 20, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 14
Celta Vigo
2-0
Alaves
Araujo (55'), Nolito (61')
Battaglia (20'), Pina (35')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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