La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 20, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
4 - 1
Cadiz

Garcia (9'), Martin (22'), Dovbyk (71'), Portu (82')
Gutierrez (42')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Escalante (81')
Fernandez (31'), Chust (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Girona and Cadiz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Girona
Saturday, April 13 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cadiz

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, April 13 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona's home form has been so strong this season, and we are finding it very difficult to back Cadiz to pick up a positive result considering their away struggles in 2023-24. Cadiz are capable of making it a tricky match for the hosts, but we are expecting Michel's side to triumph in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 14.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Cadiz
65.06% ( -0.05)	20.37% ( 0.01)	14.57% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.18% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.49% (

0.03)

45.51% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.16% (

0.03)

67.84% (

-0.03)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.8% (

-0)

13.2% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.07% (

-0.01)

39.93% (

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.66% (

0.07)

43.34% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.42% (

0.06)

79.58% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Girona 65.04%

Cadiz 14.57%

Draw 20.37%

Girona	Draw	Cadiz
2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.89% Total : 65.04%	1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.37%	0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.57%