Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 65.06%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 14.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Cadiz |
65.06% ( -0.05) | 20.37% ( 0.01) | 14.57% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.18% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.49% ( 0.03) | 45.51% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.16% ( 0.03) | 67.84% ( -0.03) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.8% ( -0) | 13.2% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.07% ( -0.01) | 39.93% ( 0) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.66% ( 0.07) | 43.34% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.42% ( 0.06) | 79.58% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Cadiz |
2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.89% Total : 65.04% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.37% | 0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 14.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |