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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Alaves logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Alaves

Guruzeta (32', 37')
Williams (54'), Garcia (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Benavidez (80'), Abqar (86'), Blanco (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 10 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves

 Alaves deserve huge praise for their performance level this season, and the visitors certainly have the ability to make this an uncomfortable match for Athletic. The hosts need to keep winning to stay in the top-four picture, though, and we are backing them to secure all three points on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
55.04% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 24.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 19.96% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.83% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)55.54% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)76.71% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)20.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)52.44% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (-0.103 -0.1)42.6% (0.105 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (-0.087 -0.09)78.95% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.04%
    Alaves 19.96%
    Draw 24.99%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 13.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.04%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.96%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves

Athletic Bilbao
91.2%
Draw
7.7%
Alaves
1.1%
91
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> Preview
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
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0-2
Athletic Bilbao

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Williams (18'), Sancet (76')
Berenguer (29'), Berchiche (31')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Alaves
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Lejeune (26'), Duarte (61')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Alaves
Garcia (44')
Vencedor (38'), Berenguer (40'), Garcia (73')

Navarro (8'), Pina (84')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Alaves
Vesga (2'), Capa (90+1')
Lejeune (46'), Garcia (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona35236675443175
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517
> La Liga Full Table


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