MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 07:18:39| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga header desktop

La Liga
Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
San Mames Barria
Alaves logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Alaves

Guruzeta (32', 37')
Williams (54'), Garcia (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Benavidez (80'), Abqar (86'), Blanco (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, March 10 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves

 Alaves deserve huge praise for their performance level this season, and the visitors certainly have the ability to make this an uncomfortable match for Athletic. The hosts need to keep winning to stay in the top-four picture, though, and we are backing them to secure all three points on Saturday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
55.04% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 24.99% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 19.96% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 45.83% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.46% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)55.54% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.29% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)76.71% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.85% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)20.15% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)52.44% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.4% (-0.103 -0.1)42.6% (0.105 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.05% (-0.087 -0.09)78.95% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.04%
    Alaves 19.96%
    Draw 24.99%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 13.75% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.88% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 55.04%
1-1 @ 11.73%
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 19.96%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Alaves

Athletic Bilbao
91.2%
Draw
7.7%
Alaves
1.1%
91
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2024 8pm
Round of 16
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Alaves
Villalibre (28', 60')

Benavidez (71'), Marin (90')
> Preview
Sep 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Alaves
0-2
Athletic Bilbao

Kike (45+1'), Garcia (61'), Abqar (78')
Williams (18'), Sancet (76')
Berenguer (29'), Berchiche (31')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
Alaves
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Lejeune (26'), Duarte (61')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Alaves
Garcia (44')
Vencedor (38'), Berenguer (40'), Garcia (73')

Navarro (8'), Pina (84')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Alaves
Vesga (2'), Capa (90+1')
Lejeune (46'), Garcia (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!