La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 27, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
4 - 2
Betis

Vesga (30' pen., 45' pen.), Guruzeta (45+7'), Gomez Etxebarria (84')
Paredes (59'), Ruiz de Galarreta (61'), Vesga (79'), Berenguer (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Jose (2'), Isco (10')
Rodriguez (44'), Vinicius (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Betis

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Betis 0-0 Atletico
Sunday, August 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

Athletic will be missing some important players this weekend, but the same can also be said for Real Betis. We were close to backing an away win, and it would not be a surprise to see the visitors triumph here, but Athletic are good enough to claim a share of the spoils in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Betis
47.17% ( -0.06)	26.43% ( 0.01)	26.41% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 48.83% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.76% (

-0.03)

55.24% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.53% (

-0.03)

76.47% (

0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58% (

-0.05)

23.42% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.59% (

-0.06)

57.41% (

0.06)

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

0.02)

36.24% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.98% (

0.02)

73.02% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 47.16%

Real Betis 26.41%

Draw 26.42%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Betis
1-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.16%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.41%