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La Liga | Gameweek 35
May 20, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Celta Vigo logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Williams (5'), Berenguer (54')
Paredes (34'), Williams (39'), Garcia (82'), Garcia (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, May 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Celta Vigo

Neither team will enter this match in the best of form, but we are expecting Athletic to emerge victorious on Saturday afternoon. Celta could be missing their first-choice front two this weekend, which makes the Lions even bigger favourites to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 19.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
55.22% (0.314 0.31) 25.42% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1) 19.36% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 43.84% (-0.065999999999995 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (0.085999999999999 0.09)57.71% (-0.087999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (0.068000000000001 0.07)78.46% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.164 0.16)20.95% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.256 0.26)53.69% (-0.257 -0.26)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.46% (-0.2 -0.2)44.54% (0.196 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.43% (-0.163 -0.16)80.56% (0.16199999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 55.22%
    Celta Vigo 19.36%
    Draw 25.42%
Athletic BilbaoDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 14.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.4% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.94% (0.069 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.32% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 55.22%
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 7.55% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.77% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 19.36%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Celta Vigo

Athletic Bilbao
83.7%
Draw
9.3%
Celta Vigo
7.0%
43
Head to Head
Jan 29, 2023 5.30pm
gameweek 19
Celta Vigo
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Aspas (71')
Tapia (36'), Nunez (81')

Alvarez (61'), Zarraga (87')
Apr 17, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 32
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Petxarroman (41'), Muniain (62')
Aspas (11'), Beltran (37')
Vazquez (51'), Tapia (90+3')
Aug 28, 2021 4pm
gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Mendez (52'), Mallo (90+6')
Williams (34')
Simon (90+6')
Mar 14, 2021 1pm
gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Mina (45'), Vazquez (63'), Murillo (70'), Coudet (89')

Lekue (41')
Dec 4, 2020 8pm
gameweek 12
Athletic Bilbao
0-2
Celta Vigo

Nunez (26'), Vesga (84')
Mallo (61'), Aspas (78')
Murillo (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca2293101928-930
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Sevilla227782430-628
12Osasuna216962530-527
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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