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La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 9pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Real Betis logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Betis


de Marcos (49')
Vivian (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jose (6')
Perez (43'), Pezzella (56'), Guardado (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Betis
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

While Athletic Bilbao have struggled for consistency on home soil in recent times, Real Betis have faltered on the road, losing each of their last three away league games. With that in mind, we expect Athletic and Betis to share the points at San Mames as both sides aim to avoid defeat and keep their respective European pushes alive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 15.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
62.38% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.07% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.25% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.69% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.41% (0.038 0.04)72.59% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.29% (0.027999999999992 0.03)15.71% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.21% (0.049999999999997 0.05)44.79% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.13% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (0.0010000000000012 0)81.04% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 62.37%
    Real Betis 15.55%
    Draw 22.07%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 13.12% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.14%
2-1 @ 9.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2%
Total : 62.37%
1-1 @ 10.44%
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.07%
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 15.55%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Betis

Athletic Bilbao
63.8%
Draw
23.2%
Real Betis
13.0%
69
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 6.15pm
Mar 13, 2022 3.15pm
gameweek 28
Betis
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Iglesias (20')
Pezzella (25'), Miranda (28'), Ruibal (76'), Canales (80')
Fekir (80')

Berchiche (8'), Berenguer (16'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (80'), Sancet (80')
Dec 19, 2021 3.15pm
gameweek 18
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Betis
Williams (2', 72'), De Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')
Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Apr 21, 2021 7pm
gameweek 31
Betis
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Rodriguez (55'), Guardado (82'), Bravo (88')
Fekir (11')

de Marcos (43'), Nunez (90+5')
Feb 4, 2021 8pm
Quarter-finals
Betis
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao win 4-1 on penalties
Juanmi (84')
Ruibal (55'), Carvalho (83')
Garcia (90+4')
Berchiche (39'), Alvarez (42'), Garcia (48'), Martinez (53'), Lekue (72'), Garcia (83')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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