Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Las Palmas |
49.5% ( 0.35) | 25.78% ( -0.01) | 24.72% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 49.24% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.02% ( -0.25) | 53.97% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.58% ( -0.21) | 75.42% ( 0.2) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.05) | 21.83% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.94% ( 0.08) | 55.05% ( -0.08) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% ( -0.44) | 37% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.21% ( -0.44) | 73.79% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |