Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Las Palmas |
49.5% ( 0.35) | 25.78% ( -0.01) | 24.72% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 49.24% ( -0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.02% ( -0.25) | 53.97% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.58% ( -0.21) | 75.42% ( 0.2) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.05) | 21.83% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.94% ( 0.08) | 55.05% ( -0.08) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.99% ( -0.44) | 37% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.21% ( -0.44) | 73.79% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 8.03% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.75% Total : 24.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |