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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Las Palmas

Celta Vigo
4 - 1
Las Palmas

Aspas (37', 76'), Swedberg (39'), Douvikas (71')
Strand Larsen (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Herzog (11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Las Palmas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Betis 2-1 Celta Vigo
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Las Palmas 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 14 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Las Palmas

There has only been one draw in the last six La Liga meetings between these two sides, but we can see the points being shared this weekend. Celta have been poor at home this term, but Las Palmas are not particularly strong on their travels, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 49.5%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas
49.5% (0.346 0.35) 25.78% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 24.72% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 49.24% (-0.309 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.02% (-0.246 -0.25)53.97% (0.243 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.58% (-0.207 -0.21)75.42% (0.205 0.2)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.16% (0.048000000000002 0.05)21.83% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (0.076999999999998 0.08)55.05% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Las Palmas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.99% (-0.437 -0.44)37% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21% (-0.436 -0.44)73.79% (0.432 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 49.5%
    Las Palmas 24.72%
    Draw 25.78%
Celta VigoDrawLas Palmas
1-0 @ 12.29% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 9.36% (0.117 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.5%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.08% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.62% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.03% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.99% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 24.72%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Las Palmas

Celta Vigo
54.3%
Draw
34.3%
Las Palmas
11.4%
35
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 8
Las Palmas
2-1
Celta Vigo
Viera (84' pen.), Cardona (90+7')
Marmol (74'), Cardona (90+8')
Douvikas (67')
Starfelt (83')
Mar 5, 2018 8pm
Oct 16, 2017 8pm
Las Palmas
2-5
Celta Vigo
Vitolo (90'), Remy (90')
Bigas (51'), Aquilani (61')
Mor (16'), Aspas (20', 49', 76'), Hernandez (71')
Jozabed (27')
Blanco (52')
Apr 3, 2017 7.45pm
Celta Vigo
3-1
Las Palmas
Rossi (13', 36', 57')
Roncaglia (24'), Jonny (45')
Bigas (80')
Bigas (17'), Rodriguez (52')
Oct 30, 2016 7.45pm
Las Palmas
3-3
Celta Vigo
Bigas (52'), Viera (66' pen.), Boateng (68')
Boateng (50'), Momo (88')
Wass (6'), Aspas (14', 21')
Mallo (11'), Radoja (27'), Gomez (40'), Aspas (43'), Pedro Hernandez (60'), Wass (74'), Diaz (90')
Gomez (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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