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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Celta Vigo logo

Sevilla
1 - 2
Celta Vigo

En-Nesyri (18')
Acuna (29'), Ramos (29'), Navas (56'), Soumare (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perez (72'), Strand Larsen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Sevilla
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, March 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Celta Vigo

This is a tough match to call, as Sevilla have struggled with consistency this season, and Celta will be hoping for a new manager bounce this weekend. We are expecting a tight match but believe that Sevilla will be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
49.4% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87) 25.7% (0.374 0.37) 24.91% (0.496 0.5)
Both teams to score 49.66% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-1.052 -1.05)53.51% (1.054 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.897 -0.9)75.03% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)21.69% (0.804 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (-1.241 -1.24)54.83% (1.244 1.24)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-0.136 -0.14)36.59% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-0.14 -0.14)73.37% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 49.39%
    Celta Vigo 24.91%
    Draw 25.69%
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.296 0.3)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Celta Vigo

Sevilla
82.5%
Draw
15.9%
Celta Vigo
1.6%
63
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Starfelt (22')
Tapia (45')
Tapia (65')
En-Nesyri (84')
Soumare (28'), Rakitic (45'), Torres (65'), Gudelj (80'), En-Nesyri (89')
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
En-Nesyri (43'), Acuna (81')
Rodriguez (89'), Paciencia (90+3')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Veiga (33')
Salas (54')
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')
Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')
Oct 17, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Celta Vigo
0-1
Sevilla

Mendez (2'), Aspas (88')
Mir (54')
Rakitic (11'), Navas (38'), Jordan (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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