Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
49.4% ( -0.87) | 25.7% ( 0.37) | 24.91% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 49.66% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.48% ( -1.05) | 53.51% ( 1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.97% ( -0.9) | 75.03% ( 0.9) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% ( -0.8) | 21.69% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.16% ( -1.24) | 54.83% ( 1.24) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.41% ( -0.14) | 36.59% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.62% ( -0.14) | 73.37% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.82% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |