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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Celta Vigo logo

Sevilla
1 - 2
Celta Vigo

En-Nesyri (18')
Acuna (29'), Ramos (29'), Navas (56'), Soumare (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perez (72'), Strand Larsen (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Sevilla
Monday, March 11 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 4-0 Celta Vigo
Sunday, March 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Celta Vigo

This is a tough match to call, as Sevilla have struggled with consistency this season, and Celta will be hoping for a new manager bounce this weekend. We are expecting a tight match but believe that Sevilla will be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
49.4% (-0.86799999999999 -0.87) 25.7% (0.374 0.37) 24.91% (0.496 0.5)
Both teams to score 49.66% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-1.052 -1.05)53.51% (1.054 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.97% (-0.897 -0.9)75.03% (0.89700000000001 0.9)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31% (-0.80199999999999 -0.8)21.69% (0.804 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16% (-1.241 -1.24)54.83% (1.244 1.24)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.41% (-0.136 -0.14)36.59% (0.139 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.62% (-0.14 -0.14)73.37% (0.143 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 49.39%
    Celta Vigo 24.91%
    Draw 25.69%
SevillaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.12% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.72% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 25.69%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.296 0.3)
1-2 @ 6.13% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 4.01% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.06% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Celta Vigo

Sevilla
Draw
Celta Vigo
Sevilla
82.5%
Draw
15.9%
Celta Vigo
1.6%
63
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Starfelt (22')
Tapia (45')
Tapia (65')
En-Nesyri (84')
Soumare (28'), Rakitic (45'), Torres (65'), Gudelj (80'), En-Nesyri (89')
Apr 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
En-Nesyri (43'), Acuna (81')
Rodriguez (89'), Paciencia (90+3')
Dec 30, 2022 6.15pm
Gameweek 15
Celta Vigo
1-1
Sevilla
Veiga (33')
Salas (54')
Jan 22, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sevilla
2-2
Celta Vigo
Papu (71'), Torres (74')
Gudelj (83')
Cervi (37'), Aspas (40')
Cervi (23'), Suarez (31'), Tapia (66'), Murillo (76')
Oct 17, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Celta Vigo
0-1
Sevilla

Mendez (2'), Aspas (88')
Mir (54')
Rakitic (11'), Navas (38'), Jordan (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo35147145554149
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Valencia351112124351-845
11Osasuna351015104351-845
12Real Sociedad35127163241-943
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol35109163847-939
15Sevilla35911153949-1038
16GironaGirona35108174153-1238
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
RReal ValladolidValladolid3544272685-5916


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