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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Almeria

Celta Vigo
1 - 0
Almeria

Mingueza (73')
Sanchez (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lopy (78'), Radovanovic (90')
Langa (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-2 Atletico
Saturday, February 24 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Almeria

Almeria are not losing games at the moment, but we are finding it difficult to back them to win considering their struggles in that department this season. Celta's home form has also been very disappointing this term, so we are backing a low-scoring draw in the relegation six-pointer on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 47.59%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Celta Vigo in this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
47.59% (-0.0049999999999955 -0) 25.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 27.26% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 53.36% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.35% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)49.65% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)71.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)20.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)53.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)32.56% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.9% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)69.09% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 47.59%
    Almeria 27.26%
    Draw 25.15%
Celta VigoDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.36%
2-0 @ 8.34%
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.59%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.7%
0-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.26%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Almeria

Celta Vigo
57.4%
Draw
29.5%
Almeria
13.1%
122
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2023 9pm
Gameweek 4
Almeria
2-3
Celta Vigo
Akieme (54'), Arribas (68')
Pubill (28')
Nunez (24'), Strand Larsen (33'), Swedberg (87')
Sanchez (55')
Apr 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
2-2
Almeria
Seferovic (10'), Perez (42')
Babic (7'), Puigmal (32')
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 12
Almeria
3-1
Celta Vigo
Lazaro (52'), De la Hoz (60'), Eguaras (90+6')
Veiga (25')
Dec 17, 2015 7pm
Round Four
Celta Vigo
1-0
Almeria
Wass (41')

Velez (40'), Fatau (45'), Zabaco (54')
Dec 2, 2015 8pm
Round Four
Almeria
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pozo (44')
Cuellar (26'), Fatau (41')
Aspas (17', 35'), Gudetti (73')
Aspas (6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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