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La Liga | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Celta Vigo logo

Cadiz
2 - 2
Celta Vigo

Juanmi (66'), Machis (90+10')
Juanmi (72'), Alcaraz (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aspas (11'), Swedberg (58')
Tapia (33'), Manquillo (41'), Aspas (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, February 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Barcelona
Saturday, February 17 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 1-1 Celta Vigo

It is so difficult to back either of these two sides at the moment, so we have had to settle on a 1-1 draw, which was also on the scoreline in the reverse meeting between the teams in Vigo earlier this season. The desire not to lose is expected to make Sunday's contest a tense and nervy affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
30.92% (-0.291 -0.29) 28.32% (0.23 0.23) 40.76% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 46% (-0.749 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.93% (-0.891 -0.89)60.07% (0.884 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.71% (-0.684 -0.68)80.29% (0.676 0.68)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)35.28% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.96% (-0.725 -0.73)72.04% (0.71599999999999 0.72)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.07% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)28.92% (0.394 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.2% (-0.498 -0.5)64.8% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 30.92%
    Celta Vigo 40.75%
    Draw 28.31%
CadizDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 6.87% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-0 @ 5.54% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 30.92%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.2% (0.331 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 12.65% (0.28 0.28)
1-2 @ 8.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.85% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.25%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 40.75%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Celta Vigo

Cadiz
29.2%
Draw
30.8%
Celta Vigo
40.0%
65
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
Celta Vigo
1-1
Cadiz
Strand Larsen (57')
Dotor (90+3'), Dotor (90+3')
Ramos (16')
Iza (12'), Sobrino (21'), Gil (45+2'), Mbaye (59'), Alejo (74'), Alcaraz (90+3')
Chust (33')
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Cadiz
1-0
Celta Vigo
Sobrino (53')
Lozano (10'), Sobrino (27'), Bongonda (39'), Hernandez (59'), Guardiola (60'), Alcaraz (62'), Alejo (76'), Fede (90+5'), Escalante (90')

Galan (16'), Nunez (45'), de la Torre (48'), Oscar (60'), Solari (63'), Aspas (90+5')
Sep 2, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 4
Celta Vigo
3-0
Cadiz
Aspas (56', 75'), Oscar (62')
Strand Larsen (78')

Lozano (27'), Zaldua (90+1')
Feb 12, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 24
Cadiz
0-0
Celta Vigo
Ledesma (82'), Jonsson (88'), Hernandez (90+4')
Cervi (25'), Galan (52')
Sep 17, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Celta Vigo
1-2
Cadiz
Mina (64')
Galhardo (48'), Tapia (74'), Mendez (89')
Lozano (38'), Espino (43')
Sobrino (46'), Haroyan (52'), Alarcon (61')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
13Sevilla186482027-722
14Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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