Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
35.77% | 27.56% | 36.67% |
Both teams to score 49.15% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.43% | 56.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.45% | 77.55% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% | 30.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% | 66.32% |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.39% | 29.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.35% | 65.64% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 35.77% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
13 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |