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La Liga
Atletico Madrid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Celta Vigo logo

Atletico
4 - 1
Celta Vigo

Correa (9'), De Paul (50'), Carrasco (66'), Nunez (82' og.)
Hermoso (16'), Koke (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Veiga (71')
Nunez (21'), Aspas (90+4'), Veiga (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

Last Six:
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Porto
Wednesday, September 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Celta Vigo

Last Six:
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Cadiz
Friday, September 2 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Celta Vigo

 Celta will be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match, and the visitors are certainly capable of picking up a positive result on Saturday. It is hard to back against Atletico in front of their own supporters, though, and we are expecting Simeone's side to collect all three points with a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 20.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
54.57% (-0.534 -0.53) 25.21% (-0.249 -0.25) 20.23% (0.783 0.78)
Both teams to score 45.64% (1.757 1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44% (1.726 1.73)56% (-1.727 -1.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.91% (1.383 1.38)77.09% (-1.383 -1.38)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.473 0.47)20.53% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.74700000000001 0.75)53.03% (-0.748 -0.75)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.43% (1.881 1.88)42.57% (-1.881 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.07% (1.564 1.56)78.93% (-1.565 -1.57)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 54.55%
    Celta Vigo 20.23%
    Draw 25.2%
Atletico MadridDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 13.83% (-0.74 -0.74)
2-0 @ 10.95% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.139 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.94% (0.144 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.11% (0.165 0.17)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 54.55%
1-1 @ 11.81%
0-0 @ 8.74% (-0.598 -0.6)
2-2 @ 4% (0.259 0.26)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 5.05% (0.257 0.26)
0-2 @ 3.19% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.142 0.14)
2-3 @ 1.14% (0.127 0.13)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 20.23%

How you voted: Atletico vs Celta Vigo

Atletico Madrid
76.2%
Draw
16.7%
Celta Vigo
7.1%
126
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 8pm
Atletico
2-0
Celta Vigo
Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')
Aug 15, 2021 4.30pm
Celta Vigo
1-2
Atletico
Aspas (59' pen.)
Suarez (77'), Solari (86'), Fontan (90'), Aspas (90+5')
Mallo (90+5')
Correa (23', 64')
Lemar (11'), Llorente (57'), Kondogbia (61'), Carrasco (90+2'), Gimenez (90+8')
Hermoso (90+5')
Feb 8, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Celta Vigo
Suarez (45', 50')
Felipe (23'), Gimenez (67')
Mina (13'), Ferreyra (89')
Tapia (5'), Suarez (78')
Oct 17, 2020 3pm
Celta Vigo
0-2
Atletico

Beltran (41'), Nolito (63'), Aspas (83')
Suarez (6'), Carrasco (90+5')
Hermoso (17'), Costa (37'), Felipe (71'), Herrera (86')
Jul 7, 2020 9pm
Celta Vigo
1-1
Atletico
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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