Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 26.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
26.68% ( 0.58) | 26.32% ( -0.11) | 47% ( -0.48) |
Both teams to score 49.35% ( 0.76) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.33% ( 0.76) | 54.66% ( -0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24% ( 0.62) | 75.99% ( -0.63) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.29% ( 0.9) | 35.7% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.52% ( 0.91) | 72.47% ( -0.92) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( 0.1) | 23.24% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( 0.15) | 57.16% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.98% Total : 26.68% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.83% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 46.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |