Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
26.33% ( 0.2) | 26.58% ( -0.03) | 47.1% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 48.34% ( 0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.16% ( 0.25) | 55.84% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.04% ( 0.2) | 76.96% ( -0.2) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.36% ( 0.31) | 36.64% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.57% ( 0.31) | 73.43% ( -0.31) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( 0.03) | 23.71% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.16% ( 0.05) | 57.84% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.33% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.57% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.32% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 47.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |