La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 34

May 3, 2024 at 8pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Perez

Getafe
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

FT(HT: 0-1)

Williams (27', 51')
Paredes (72')
Alvarez (58'), Paredes (79'), Valverde (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Getafe
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Getafe 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

This fixture produces draws, plenty of them. On paper, Athletic are the favourites, but Getafe have been strong at home this season, while Athletic are inconsistent on their travels. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 29.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
29.08% ( 0.11)	29.29% ( 0.87)	41.63% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 42.7% (

-2.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.19% (

-2.75)

63.8% (

2.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.95% (

-2.01)

83.05% (

2.01)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.24% (

-1.44)

38.76% (

1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.51% (

-1.39)

75.49% (

1.39)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.73% (

-1.9)

30.27% (

1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.56% (

-2.33)

66.44% (

2.33)

Score Analysis

Getafe 29.07%

Athletic Bilbao 41.63%

Draw 29.28%

Getafe	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.55% Total : 29.07%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 11.73% ( 1.15) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.32) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.28%	0-1 @ 14.02% ( 0.69) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.34) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.35% Total : 41.63%