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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 3, 2024 at 8pm UK
Coliseum Alfonso Perez
Athletic Bilbao logo

Getafe
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (27', 51')
Paredes (72')
Alvarez (58'), Paredes (79'), Valverde (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 1-3 Getafe
Saturday, April 27 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Getafe 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

This fixture produces draws, plenty of them. On paper, Athletic are the favourites, but Getafe have been strong at home this season, while Athletic are inconsistent on their travels. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away win, but we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.63%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 29.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.38%) and 1-2 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
GetafeDrawAthletic Bilbao
29.08% (0.107 0.11) 29.29% (0.867 0.87) 41.63% (-0.975 -0.98)
Both teams to score 42.7% (-2.193 -2.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.19% (-2.752 -2.75)63.8% (2.752 2.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.95% (-2.014 -2.01)83.05% (2.013 2.01)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-1.439 -1.44)38.76% (1.438 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.51% (-1.391 -1.39)75.49% (1.391 1.39)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (-1.897 -1.9)30.27% (1.898 1.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (-2.329 -2.33)66.44% (2.329 2.33)
Score Analysis
    Getafe 29.07%
    Athletic Bilbao 41.63%
    Draw 29.28%
GetafeDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.68 0.68)
2-1 @ 6.3% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-0 @ 1.67% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.19% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 29.07%
1-1 @ 13.28% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 11.73% (1.15 1.15)
2-2 @ 3.76% (-0.319 -0.32)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 29.28%
0-1 @ 14.02% (0.69 0.69)
0-2 @ 8.38% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.341 -0.34)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.191 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.16% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.215 -0.22)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 41.63%

How you voted: Getafe vs Athletic Bilbao

Getafe
29.2%
Draw
32.1%
Athletic Bilbao
38.7%
137
Head to Head
Sep 27, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 7
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Getafe
Berchiche (6'), Williams (62')
Paredes (2'), Guruzeta (58'), Alvarez (90+2'), Garcia (90+6'), Williams (90+6')
Sancet (45+1')
Alvarez (51'), Latasa (83')
Suarez (7'), Angileri (83'), Rodriguez (90+1'), Dakonam (90+4'), Alderete (90+7'), Mata (90+10')
Bordalas (90+6')
Apr 1, 2023 3.15pm
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 10
Getafe
2-2
Athletic Bilbao
Alena (27'), El Haddadi (76')
Williams (2'), Garcia (62')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Getafe
Berchiche (29')
Vesga (79'), de Marcos (88'), Petxarroman (90+3'), Alvarez (90+6')
Unal (3')
Mitrovic (25'), Unal (32'), Dakonam (86'), Mata (90+3'), Suarez (90+7')
Cuenca (65'), Jankto (90')
Dec 6, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 16
Getafe
0-0
Athletic Bilbao
Dakonam (15'), Mata (90+5')
Flores (90+5')
Morcillo (90+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona55001741315
2Atletico MadridAtletico532092711
3Real Madrid532092711
4Villarreal5320118311
5AlavesAlaves631297210
6Athletic Bilbao631286210
7Celta Vigo5302131039
8Real BetisBetis52215418
9Mallorca62224408
10Rayo Vallecano52127617
11GironaGirona52128807
12Espanyol52125507
13Osasuna5212610-47
14Sevilla612358-35
15Leganes612337-45
16Real Sociedad611437-44
17Real ValladolidValladolid5113213-114
18Getafe503224-23
19Las PalmasLas Palmas5023610-42
20Valencia5014310-71


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