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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
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Villarreal
1 - 2
Atletico

Sorloth (50')
Capoue (27'), Parejo (58'), Mosquera (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Witsel (9'), Niguez (87')
Griezmann (26'), Barrios (62'), Niguez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Atletico Madrid

 Villarreal are flying at the moment, and we are finding it difficult to predict the hosts to lose here, especially considering Atletico's away struggles. The Red and Whites will be determined to avoid a third straight league defeat, meanwhile, and we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
44.82% (0.288 0.29) 24.71% (0.206 0.21) 30.46% (-0.488 -0.49)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.948 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.03% (-1.13 -1.13)45.97% (1.135 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (-1.079 -1.08)68.28% (1.084 1.08)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.337 -0.34)20.59% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.53599999999999 -0.54)53.13% (0.541 0.54)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.88300000000001 -0.88)28.35% (0.889 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (-1.129 -1.13)64.09% (1.135 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 44.82%
    Atletico Madrid 30.46%
    Draw 24.71%
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.344 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.46%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Atletico

Villarreal
29.9%
Draw
27.8%
Atletico Madrid
42.4%
144
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Atletico
3-1
Villarreal
Witsel (45+1'), Griezmann (80'), Lino (85')
Moreno (20')
Capoue (45+2'), Akhomach (77')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Jackson (9'), Pascual (90+2')
Moreno (36'), Capoue (39'), Baena (75')
Correa (18', 56')
Barrios (68'), Correa (76')
Witsel (70')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Atletico
0-2
Villarreal

Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
Molina (90+4')
Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Torres (29'), Moreno (58')
Correa (10'), Kondogbia (67')
Kondogbia (71')
Kondogbia (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 3
Atletico
2-2
Villarreal
Suarez (56'), Mandi (90+4' og.)
Simeone (16'), Correa (28'), Lemar (45'), Suarez (59'), De Paul (85')
Trigueros (52'), Danjuma (74')
Moreno (61'), Rulli (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
> La Liga Full Table


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