Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.78%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Getafe |
38.78% ( -0.07) | 27.14% ( 0.02) | 34.08% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.28% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.93% ( -0.08) | 55.07% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.67% ( -0.06) | 76.33% ( 0.06) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.35% ( -0.08) | 27.65% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.81% ( -0.1) | 63.19% ( 0.1) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.5% ( -0.01) | 30.5% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.28% ( -0.01) | 66.72% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.78% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 30 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
4 | Villarreal | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Osasuna | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 22 |
7 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sevilla | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 16 |
14 | Leganes | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |