Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Mallorca |
49.02% ( 0.07) | 26.58% ( -0.02) | 24.39% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.65% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.81% ( 0.03) | 57.19% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.95% ( 0.03) | 78.05% ( -0.02) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.6% ( 0.05) | 23.4% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.61% ( 0.07) | 57.39% ( -0.06) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.91% ( -0.03) | 39.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.19% ( -0.02) | 75.8% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 49.02% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 24.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |