La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 1pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona5 - 3Mallorca
We said: Girona 1-1 Mallorca
Girona have been excellent this season and will fancy their chances of picking up another three points on Saturday afternoon. Mallorca have been impressive in their last two games, though, including an away victory last time out, and we can see the points being shared in this contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 49.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 24.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Mallorca |
49.02% ( 0.07) | 26.58% ( -0.02) | 24.39% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.65% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
