Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.65%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
23.65% ( 0.3) | 27.93% ( 0.13) | 48.43% ( -0.42) |
Both teams to score 42.5% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.81% ( -0.19) | 62.19% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.12% ( -0.14) | 81.88% ( 0.14) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.36% ( 0.18) | 42.64% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.01% ( 0.15) | 78.99% ( -0.15) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.09% ( -0.29) | 25.91% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.1% ( -0.39) | 60.9% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.08% Total : 23.65% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 14.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 10.07% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.95% Total : 48.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |