La Liga | Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona2 - 1Mallorca
Espinosa (45+2'), Castellanos (84')
Espinosa (14'), Hernandez (76'), Castellanos (78'), Couto (90+2')
Espinosa (14'), Hernandez (76'), Castellanos (78'), Couto (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 0-2 Girona
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Monday, May 1 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Mallorca 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Monday, May 1 at 6pm in La Liga
Monday, May 1 at 6pm in La Liga
We said: Girona 1-0 Mallorca
Girona are very strong at home and Mallorca have been poor on the road, so the hosts look likeliest to keep their own respective European push going. It has never been a fixture blessed with many goals, as the last 11 meetings have all seen two goals or fewer. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Mallorca |
50.74% ( -0.07) | 25.82% ( -0.07) | 23.44% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 47.85% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
