MX23RW : Monday, March 10 03:00:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Villarreal logo
La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Valencia logo

Villarreal
1 - 1
Valencia

Gueye (32')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Sadiq (84')
Lopez (47'), Gaya (48'), Pepelu (87'), Perez (90+4'), Sadiq (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Villarreal
Saturday, February 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Leganes
Sunday, February 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-1 Valencia

Valencia's recent form has been impressive, but their struggles on the road are a concern, and we are finding it very difficult to back them to pick up a positive result here. However, it should be a close match in terms of the scoreline, with Villarreal potentially only just shading it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 59.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawValencia
59.78% (0.479 0.48) 21.76% (-0.135 -0.14) 18.46% (-0.343 -0.34)
Both teams to score 53.04% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.35% (0.064999999999998 0.06)44.64% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.99% (0.061999999999998 0.06)67.01% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (0.176 0.18)14.53% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.43% (0.335 0.34)42.56% (-0.334 -0.33)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (-0.343 -0.34)37.94% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (-0.336 -0.34)74.71% (0.337 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 59.77%
    Valencia 18.46%
    Draw 21.76%
VillarrealDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.25% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.39% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.034 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.19% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 59.77%
1-1 @ 10.3% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.76%
0-1 @ 5.34% (-0.065 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.59% (-0.056 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.61% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.46%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valencia

Villarreal
77.6%
Draw
13.8%
Valencia
8.6%
58
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Duro (24')
Duro (39'), Pepelu (51'), Guillamon (62')
Perez (45+3')
Pino (42'), Gueye (50'), Femenia (77'), Albiol (83')
Gueye (68')
Mar 17, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 29
Villarreal
1-0
Valencia
Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')

Ozkacar (36')
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!