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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 2, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Celta Vigo logo

Valencia
2 - 1
Celta Vigo

Rioja (44'), Guerra (68')
Barrenechea (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Duran Fernandez (65')
Moriba (67'), Starfelt (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 7-1 Valencia
Sunday, January 26 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-1 Celta Vigo

This is a really important match for Valencia, as there has to be a response from the defeat at Barcelona, and we are expecting Los Che to record a narrow victory against a Celta outfit that will be missing a number of important players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Valencia in this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
34.52% (-1.023 -1.02) 26.34% (-0.398 -0.4) 39.13% (1.416 1.42)
Both teams to score 52.89% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (1.531 1.53)51.79% (-1.536 -1.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (1.31 1.31)73.56% (-1.315 -1.32)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.4% (0.11499999999999 0.11)28.6% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.6% (0.144 0.14)64.4% (-0.149 -0.15)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.07% (1.503 1.5)25.92% (-1.509 -1.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08% (1.99 1.99)60.92% (-1.995 -2)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 34.52%
    Celta Vigo 39.12%
    Draw 26.33%
ValenciaDrawCelta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.28% (-0.549 -0.55)
2-1 @ 7.84% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.81% (-0.323 -0.32)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.21% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.52%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.164 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 10% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.236 0.24)
0-2 @ 6.76% (0.166 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.81% (0.262 0.26)
0-3 @ 3.04% (0.2 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.38% (0.171 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.29% (0.138 0.14)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 39.12%

How you voted: Valencia vs Celta Vigo

Valencia
67.9%
Draw
17.9%
Celta Vigo
14.1%
78
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
3-1
Valencia
Mingueza (22'), Aspas (27'), Beltran (60')
Mingueza (25'), Rodriguez (78'), Bamba (87')
Lopez (15')
May 26, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 38
Celta Vigo
2-2
Valencia
Aspas (49' pen.), Douvikas (62')
Dominguez (5' og.), Mari (60' pen.)
Jan 17, 2024 7pm
Round of 16
Valencia
1-3
Celta Vigo
Pepelu (29' pen.)
Gasiorowski (86')
De la Torre (13'), Douvikas (18' pen., 80')
Vazquez (48'), Swedberg (68')
Nov 25, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Valencia
0-0
Celta Vigo
Amallah (77'), Pepelu (87'), Guillamon (90+2')
Cervi (71'), Nunez (79')
May 14, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 34
Celta Vigo
1-2
Valencia
Seferovic (60')
Kluivert (8'), Mari (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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