La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 0
Girona

Soler (45+1' pen.)
Correia (56'), Gattuso (57'), Vazquez (69')
Comert (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Couto (14'), Saiz (44'), Fernandez (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

Last Six:

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0
18	Valencia	0	0	0
19	Sevilla	1	-1	0

Girona

Last Six:

Last Game: Tenerife 1-3 Girona
Sunday, June 19 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Getafe	0	0	0
13	Girona	0	0	0
14	Mallorca	0	0	0

We expect a closely-fought encounter on Sunday, as Girona come into the season with momentum following their promotion, but we still tip the balance just in the hosts' favour. Los Che will be desperate to improve after last season, and with Gattuso hoping to bring about an immediate bounce, they should have what it takes to come away with all three points on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Girona
42.89% ( -0.02)	27.45% ( 0.05)	29.66% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 47.92% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.6% (

-0.2)

57.39% (

0.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.79% (

-0.16)

78.21% (

0.16)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.51% (

-0.1)

26.49% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.32% (

-0.14)

61.68% (

0.14)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.19% (

-0.13)

34.8% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.46% (

-0.14)

71.54% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Valencia 42.88%

Girona 29.66%

Draw 27.44%

Valencia	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.88%	1-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.44%	0-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 29.66%