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Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 9, 2025 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Leganes logo

Valencia
2 - 0
Leganes

Mosquera (30'), Diakhaby (41')
Barrenechea (25')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Neyou (23'), (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valencia 0-5 Barcelona
Thursday, February 6 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Leganes 2-3 Real Madrid
Wednesday, February 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Valencia 1-1 Leganes

Four of the last five La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, including three 1-1 draws, and we are predicting that scoreline here. Valencia have home advantage, but Leganes have proven to be very difficult to beat on their travels this season, and we are expecting them to be good enough to avoid defeat at Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawLeganes
38.95% (0.398 0.4) 28.05% (0.36 0.36) 33% (-0.759 -0.76)
Both teams to score 47.34% (-1.209 -1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.32% (-1.443 -1.44)58.68% (1.442 1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.78% (-1.136 -1.14)79.22% (1.135 1.14)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.46900000000001 -0.47)29.29% (0.467 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.58000000000001 -0.58)65.25% (0.578 0.58)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-1.258 -1.26)33.06% (1.257 1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-1.417 -1.42)69.65% (1.415 1.42)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 38.94%
    Leganes 33%
    Draw 28.05%
ValenciaDrawLeganes
1-0 @ 11.88% (0.48 0.48)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.99% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.02% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 38.94%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.68% (0.517 0.52)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.183 -0.18)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.05%
0-1 @ 10.71% (0.22 0.22)
1-2 @ 7.28% (-0.199 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.19% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33%

How you voted: Valencia vs Leganes

Valencia
Draw
Leganes
Valencia
49.1%
Draw
29.1%
Leganes
21.8%
55
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 9
Leganes
0-0
Valencia
Rosier (30'), Neyou (49')
Tarrega (32'), Pepelu (67')
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
Sep 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 5
Valencia
1-1
Leganes
Parejo (21' pen.)
Kondogbia (59'), Torres (85'), Paulista (91')
Oscar (35')
Recio (23'), Siovas (41'), Soriano (87'), Perez (88')
Feb 24, 2019 11am
Gameweek 25
Leganes
1-1
Valencia
Braithwaite (89')
Kravets (21'), Nyom (69'), Bustinza (72'), Perez (84'), En-Nesyri (90')
Kondogbia (22')
Gaya (25'), Neto (68'), Gameiro (90')
Oct 20, 2018 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Valencia
1-1
Leganes
Gaya (85')
Parejo (90')
Gumbau (63' pen.)
Oscar (33'), Gumbau (48')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona35264595365982
2Real Madrid35236672373575
3Atletico MadridAtletico352010560273370
4Athletic Bilbao351713551262564
5Villarreal351710861471461
6Real BetisBetis351610953431058
7Celta Vigo35147145554149
8Rayo Vallecano351211123742-547
9Mallorca35138143340-747
10Valencia351112124351-845
11Osasuna351015104351-845
12Real Sociedad35127163241-943
13Getafe35109163134-339
14Espanyol35109163847-939
15Sevilla35911153949-1038
16GironaGirona35108174153-1238
17AlavesAlaves35811163547-1235
18Leganes35713153553-1834
19Las PalmasLas Palmas3588194057-1732
RReal ValladolidValladolid3544272685-5916


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