We said: Valencia 1-1 Leganes
Four of the last five La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, including three 1-1 draws, and we are predicting that scoreline here. Valencia have home advantage, but Leganes have proven to be very difficult to beat on their travels this season, and we are expecting them to be good enough to avoid defeat at Mestalla.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
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