Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Valencia |
46.64% (![]() | 24.93% (![]() | 28.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.93% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.01% (![]() | 47.98% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.84% (![]() | 70.15% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.38% (![]() | 20.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.82% (![]() | 53.17% (![]() |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.2% (![]() | 30.8% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.93% (![]() | 67.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 9.32% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.63% | 1-1 @ 11.8% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.92% | 0-1 @ 7.48% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.73% ( ![]() Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
9 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
13 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |