Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.79% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
38.18% ( -0) | 27.03% ( 0.05) | 34.79% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 50.72% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.43% ( -0.21) | 54.57% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.08% ( -0.18) | 75.91% ( 0.18) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.25% ( -0.1) | 27.75% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.67% ( -0.13) | 63.32% ( 0.13) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.2% ( -0.13) | 29.79% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.12% ( -0.16) | 65.87% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 38.17% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |