La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Sadar

Osasuna
2 - 1
Sevilla

Avila (9'), Oroz (74' pen.)
Garcia (34'), Garcia (50'), Avila (68'), Herrera (90+2'), Gomez (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mir (11')
Papu (72'), Rakitic (82'), Fernando (83'), Lopetegui (87'), Romero (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

Last Six:

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Osasuna
Sunday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Mallorca	0	0	0
12	Osasuna	0	0	0
13	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0

Sevilla

Last Six:

Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Real Valladolid	0	0	0
18	Sevilla	0	0	0
19	Valencia	0	0	0

On paper, Sevilla will be the favourites, but Osasuna are a team to be taken extremely seriously at this level of football, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. Opening-night matches are often cagey affairs, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Estadio El Sadar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Sevilla
44.74% ( 0.25)	28.2% ( 0.02)	27.06% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 44.41% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.87% (

-0.2)

61.12% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.91% (

-0.15)

81.09% (

0.14)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.73% (

0.04)

27.27% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.3% (

0.05)

62.7% (

-0.05)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.06% (

-0.34)

38.93% (

0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.34% (

-0.32)

75.66% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Osasuna 44.73%

Sevilla 27.05%

Draw 28.2%

Osasuna	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.2%	0-1 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 27.05%