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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Sevilla logo

Osasuna
2 - 1
Sevilla

Avila (9'), Oroz (74' pen.)
Garcia (34'), Garcia (50'), Avila (68'), Herrera (90+2'), Gomez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mir (11')
Papu (72'), Rakitic (82'), Fernando (83'), Lopetegui (87'), Romero (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Osasuna
Sunday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sevilla
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Sevilla

On paper, Sevilla will be the favourites, but Osasuna are a team to be taken extremely seriously at this level of football, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. Opening-night matches are often cagey affairs, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Estadio El Sadar. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawSevilla
44.74% (0.249 0.25) 28.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 27.06% (-0.273 -0.27)
Both teams to score 44.41% (-0.221 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.87% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)61.12% (0.193 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.91% (-0.145 -0.15)81.09% (0.142 0.14)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)27.27% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.7% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (-0.341 -0.34)38.93% (0.337 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.34% (-0.321 -0.32)75.66% (0.318 0.32)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 44.73%
    Sevilla 27.05%
    Draw 28.2%
OsasunaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.79% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 44.73%
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.61% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.2%
0-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 27.05%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Sevilla

Osasuna
12.9%
Draw
16.1%
Sevilla
71.0%
255
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 8pm
Oct 30, 2021 3.15pm
Sevilla
2-0
Osasuna
Carlos (40'), Ocampos (60')
Jordan (61'), Bono (89')

Areso (54'), Budimir (70')
Feb 22, 2021 8pm
Osasuna
0-2
Sevilla

Vidal (76'), Torro (88')
Carlos (19'), De Jong (49')
El Haddadi (67'), Jordan (83')
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
Sevilla
1-0
Osasuna
Ocampos (59' pen.)
Rakitic (77'), Fernando (87')

Garcia (38'), Sanjurjo (80'), Garcia (90+1')
Mar 1, 2020 11am
Sevilla
3-2
Osasuna
En-Nesyri (13', 90'), Ocampos (45')
Fernando (15'), Torres (84')
Hernandez (64'), Torres (74' pen.)
Gallego (76'), Brasanac (85')
Herrera (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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