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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Sevilla logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Sevilla

Lejeune (65')
Garcia (38'), Lejeune (49'), Isi (69'), Catena (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Suso (29')
En-Nesyri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 12 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 PSV
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla

Rayo will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match, and they will fancy their chances of putting another win on the board here. Sevilla will enter the contest off the back of two strong results, though, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
35.18% (-0.212 -0.21) 26.71% (-0.073 -0.07) 38.11% (0.284 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.8% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (0.28 0.28)53.22% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (0.239 0.24)74.78% (-0.241 -0.24)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)64.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.29299999999999 0.29)27.15% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (0.383 0.38)62.55% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 35.18%
    Sevilla 38.11%
    Draw 26.7%
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.18%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.67% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.11%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano
33.3%
Draw
40.0%
Sevilla
26.7%
105
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
Aug 19, 2018 7.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-4
Sevilla
Embarba (85' pen.)
Angel Pozo (12')
Vazquez (15'), Silva (31', 45', 79')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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