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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Sevilla logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Sevilla

Lejeune (65')
Garcia (38'), Lejeune (49'), Isi (69'), Catena (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Suso (29')
En-Nesyri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 12 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 PSV
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla

Rayo will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this match, and they will fancy their chances of putting another win on the board here. Sevilla will enter the contest off the back of two strong results, though, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
35.18% (-0.212 -0.21) 26.71% (-0.073 -0.07) 38.11% (0.284 0.28)
Both teams to score 51.8% (0.214 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (0.28 0.28)53.22% (-0.281 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (0.239 0.24)74.78% (-0.241 -0.24)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)28.89% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.23% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)64.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (0.29299999999999 0.29)27.15% (-0.295 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (0.383 0.38)62.55% (-0.38500000000001 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 35.18%
    Sevilla 38.11%
    Draw 26.7%
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 35.18%
1-1 @ 12.69% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.7%
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.28% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.67% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.6% (0.05 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.9% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.11%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
33.3%
Draw
40.0%
Sevilla
26.7%
105
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
Apr 25, 2019 6.30pm
Sevilla
5-0
Rayo Vallecano
Promes (55'), El Haddadi (57', 62'), Ben Yedder (69'), Gil (86')
Banega (31')

Galvez (33'), Angel Pozo (52')
Aug 19, 2018 7.15pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-4
Sevilla
Embarba (85' pen.)
Angel Pozo (12')
Vazquez (15'), Silva (31', 45', 79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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