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La Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Rayo Vallecano logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Morata (20')
Savic (47'), Niguez (88'), Gimenez (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Falcao (90+2' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-0 Getafe
Friday, October 14 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo drew at Barcelona earlier this season and are certainly capable of picking up a positive result in this match, but it is always difficult to back against Atletico at Wanda Metropolitano, and we are expecting the Red and Whites to secure all three points courtesy of a 2-0 scoreline. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
63.39% (0.941 0.94) 22.22% (-0.427 -0.43) 14.4% (-0.513 -0.51)
Both teams to score 43.24% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.7% (0.686 0.69)53.3% (-0.683 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.15% (0.58 0.58)74.85% (-0.577 -0.58)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.73% (0.56099999999999 0.56)16.27% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.18% (1.009 1.01)45.82% (-1.005 -1.01)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.64% (-0.337 -0.34)48.36% (0.339 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.51% (-0.245 -0.25)83.5% (0.24600000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 63.38%
    Rayo Vallecano 14.4%
    Draw 22.22%
Atletico MadridDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.28% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 12.97% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.85% (0.229 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.7% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.56% (0.168 0.17)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.07% (0.022 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.29% (0.084 0.08)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 63.38%
1-1 @ 10.38% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 22.22%
0-1 @ 5.72% (-0.212 -0.21)
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-2 @ 2.08% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.4%

How you voted: Atletico vs Rayo Vallecano

Atletico Madrid
91.1%
Draw
5.7%
Rayo Vallecano
3.2%
158
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Atletico

Suarez (30'), Comesana (42'), Trejo (65')
Koke (49')
Lodi (20'), Kondogbia (74'), Koke (78'), Oblak (81'), Savic (85')
Correa (85')
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
Atletico
2-0
Rayo Vallecano
Correa (28', 53')
Simeone (7'), Suarez (26'), Gimenez (63'), De Paul (73')
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
Aug 25, 2018 7.15pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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