Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 53.98%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.