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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Atletico

Diaz (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Llorente (90+3')
Niguez (37'), Hermoso (38'), Barrios (85'), Depay (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Marcos Llorente nets a 93rd-minute leveller as Atletico Madrid claim a point in a 1-1 draw with Real Madrid in Sunday's Madrid derby.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's Madrid derby with Atletico Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Las Palmas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.27%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 17.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
62.27% (5.122 5.12) 19.77% (-0.497 -0.5) 17.96% (-4.62 -4.62)
Both teams to score 59.09% (-6.208 -6.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.76% (-4.559 -4.56)36.24% (4.565 4.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.64% (-5.172 -5.17)58.36% (5.176 5.18)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.82% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)11.18% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.32% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)35.68% (0.1 0.1)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53% (-6.95 -6.95)33.47% (6.955 6.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9% (-8.386 -8.39)70.1% (8.391 8.39)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 62.27%
    Atletico Madrid 17.96%
    Draw 19.77%
Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.389 0.39)
2-0 @ 8.98% (1.869 1.87)
1-0 @ 8.2% (1.718 1.72)
3-1 @ 7.18% (0.271 0.27)
3-0 @ 6.56% (1.355 1.36)
4-1 @ 3.93% (0.141 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.656 -0.66)
4-0 @ 3.59% (0.736 0.74)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.364 -0.36)
5-1 @ 1.72% (0.059 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.57% (0.321 0.32)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 8.98% (0.371 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.886 -0.89)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.79 0.79)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.595 -0.6)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.77%
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.799 -0.8)
0-1 @ 4.1% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 2.24% (-0.36 -0.36)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.81 -0.81)
1-3 @ 1.79% (-0.735 -0.74)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 17.96%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Atletico

Real Madrid
73.2%
Draw
18.0%
Atletico Madrid
8.8%
205
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2024 8.30pm
Round of 16
Atletico
4-2
Real Madrid
Lino (39'), Morata (57'), Griezmann (100'), Riquelme (119')
Morata (58'), Hermoso (68'), De Paul (78'), Koke (80'), Simeone (83'), Griezmann (101'), Witsel (113')
Oblak (45+1' og.), Joselu (82')
Junior (45'), Camavinga (56'), Diaz (68'), Tchouameni (85'), Bellingham (87'), Carvajal (89')
Jan 10, 2024 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
5-3
Atletico
Rudiger (20'), Mendy (29'), Carvajal (85'), Joselu (116'), Diaz (120+2')
Diaz (120+3')
Hermoso (6'), Griezmann (37'), Rudiger (78' og.)
Sep 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Atletico
3-1
Real Madrid
Morata (4', 46'), Griezmann (18')
Gimenez (45+1')
Kroos (35')
Modric (45'), Mendy (67'), Bellingham (90+5')
Feb 25, 2023 5.30pm
Jan 26, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Real Madrid
3-1
Atletico
Rodrygo (79'), Benzema (103'), Junior (120+1')
Morata (19')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid22154350212949
2Atletico MadridAtletico22146237142348
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal22107544331137
6Rayo Vallecano228862624232
7Mallorca2293101928-930
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Sevilla227782430-628
12Osasuna216962530-527
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe225981717024
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes225891930-1123
17Espanyol2265112133-1223
18AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2243151547-3215


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