We said: Getafe 1-2 Real Madrid
Having lost just once at home in the league this season, Getafe will fancy their chances of causing Real Madrid a problem or two.
While we think that Getafe may run Real Madrid close, we think the visitors will have enough quality to claim maximum points in Thursday's encounter.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 17.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.74%) and 1-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Getafe win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.