La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 21

Jan 21, 2024 at 8pm UK

Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona
5 - 1
Sevilla

Dovbyk (13', 15', 19'), Tsygankov (56'), Stuani (89')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Romero (10')
Sow (61'), Mejbri (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Girona and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Getafe 1-3 Sevilla
Tuesday, January 16 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla certainly have enough quality to pick up a positive result this weekend, but Girona will be determined to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight. We are expecting a close match in terms of the scoreline but are backing Girona to navigate their way to another three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
Girona	Draw	Sevilla
46.64% ( -0.07)	23.64% ( 0.06)	29.71% ( 0)

Both teams to score 60.18% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.53% (

-0.29)

41.47% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.13% (

-0.29)

63.86% (

0.29)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98% (

-0.14)

18.02% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.1% (

-0.24)

48.9% (

0.24)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

-0.14)

26.6% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18% (

-0.19)

61.82% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Girona 46.65%

Sevilla 29.71%

Draw 23.63%

Girona	Draw	Sevilla
2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.69% Total : 46.65%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.63%	1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.71%