La Liga | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Girona5 - 1Sevilla
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Girona 3-1 Rayo Vallecano
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Wednesday, January 17 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Girona 2-1 Sevilla
Sevilla certainly have enough quality to pick up a positive result this weekend, but Girona will be determined to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight. We are expecting a close match in terms of the scoreline but are backing Girona to navigate their way to another three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Sevilla |
46.64% ( -0.07) | 23.64% ( 0.06) | 29.71% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 60.18% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
