MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 04:11:55| >> :600:2478904:2478904:
Atletico Madrid logo
Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Jan 25, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Sevilla logo

Atletico
1 - 0
Sevilla

Depay (79')
Gimenez (63'), Hermoso (71'), Koke (75'), Simeone (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Torres (33'), Ramos (39'), Pedrosa (62'), Lamela (73'), Rakitic (82'), Mir (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Granada 0-1 Atletico
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in La Liga

Sevilla

All competitions
Copa del Rey
Last Game: Girona 5-1 Sevilla
Sunday, January 21 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 3-1 Sevilla

 Atletico may not be as watertight at the back as the Simeone teams of old, but Los Rojiblancos remain unyielding in front of the Metropolitano faithful and have not lost to Sevilla on home territory since the 2017-18 Copa del Rey, a streak which ought to be extended on Thursday. While the visitors have won for fun away from home in this season's tournament, things could turn ugly pretty quickly if they fail to learn the lessons from their Girona annihilation, and we can only picture Atletico strolling into the final four. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.43%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
52.43% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 22.94% (-0.035 -0.04) 24.63% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.16% (0.174 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85% (0.204 0.2)42.15% (-0.208 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.44% (0.203 0.2)64.55% (-0.20699999999999 -0.21)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.88% (0.064000000000007 0.06)16.12% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.46% (0.122 0.12)45.53% (-0.125 -0.13)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.152 0.15)30.66% (-0.156 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.179 0.18)66.91% (-0.184 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 52.43%
    Sevilla 24.63%
    Draw 22.94%
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.92% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.01% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.29%
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 52.43%
1-1 @ 10.66% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.94%
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.27% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.36% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 24.63%

How you voted: Atletico vs Sevilla

Atletico Madrid
85.4%
Draw
6.6%
Sevilla
8.0%
137
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Llorente (46')
Molina (27'), Gimenez (38'), Witsel (77'), Correa (77'), De Paul (85'), Llorente (90+4'), Azpilicueta (90')
Soyuncu (70')

Suso (43'), Salas (68'), Ramos (83')
> Preview
Aug 6, 2023 3am
Club Friendlies
Sevilla
1-1
Atletico
Mir (66')
Jordan (57')
Correa (84')
Soyuncu (33')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 24
Atletico
6-1
Sevilla
Depay (23', 26'), Griezmann (53'), Carrasco (69'), Morata (76', 90+2')
En-Nesyri (39')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sevilla
0-2
Atletico
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
> Preview
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Atletico
1-1
Sevilla
Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!