Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Alaves |
46.78% ( -0.62) | 27.42% ( -0.05) | 25.79% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 45.59% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.81% ( 0.56) | 59.18% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.39% ( 0.43) | 79.61% ( -0.44) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% ( -0.05) | 25.34% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% ( -0.06) | 60.13% ( 0.06) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.06% ( 0.91) | 38.94% ( -0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.33% ( 0.85) | 75.66% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 13.54% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.77% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |