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Las Palmas
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Mallorca logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Alaves logo

Sevilla
2 - 3
Alaves

Mir (70'), Ocampos (82' pen.)
Soumare (50'), Marcao (58'), Navas (63'), Mariano (73')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tenaglia (26'), Kike (40'), Duarte (90')
Marin (23'), Benavidez (81'), Garcia (90+2'), Kike (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Betis
Saturday, January 6 at 7pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Sevilla 2-1 Alaves

Sevilla desperately need a win, but their home record has been poor this season, picking up just 10 points from 10 matches. Alaves have struggled on their travels, though, collecting only four points from 10 games, and we are backing the hosts to secure what would be a huge three points on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
SevillaDrawAlaves
46.78% (-0.623 -0.62) 27.42% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 25.79% (0.668 0.67)
Both teams to score 45.59% (0.652 0.65)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.81% (0.564 0.56)59.18% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.39% (0.434 0.43)79.61% (-0.435 -0.44)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)25.34% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)60.13% (0.064 0.06)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (0.914 0.91)38.94% (-0.914 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.33% (0.85 0.85)75.66% (-0.851 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 46.77%
    Alaves 25.79%
    Draw 27.42%
SevillaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 13.54% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.226 -0.23)
2-1 @ 8.77% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 1.89% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 46.77%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.87% (-0.213 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.14% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.42%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.161 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.39% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 25.79%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Alaves

Sevilla
74.2%
Draw
17.5%
Alaves
8.2%
97
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Alaves
4-3
Sevilla
Rioja (7'), Duarte (44'), Kike (54', 59')
Gorosabel (90+1')
Abqar (15' og.), Lamela (41'), Mir (90+7')
Gudelj (62'), Torres (90+9')
Jan 17, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Alaves
0-1
Sevilla
Rakitic (48')
Mar 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 27
Alaves
0-0
Sevilla
Lejeune (34'), Duarte (49'), Pons (62')
Jordan (12')
Nov 20, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Sevilla
2-2
Alaves
Ocampos (38'), Rakitic (90+2')
Ocampos (45+6'), Mir (60'), Lopetegui (90+5'), Fernando (90+5'), Rakitic (90+5')
Laguardia (5'), Joselu (45+7' pen.)
N'Diaye (45'), Duarte (50'), Mendez (73'), Lejeune (89')
May 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 38
Sevilla
1-0
Alaves
Papu (90+2')
Vidal (29'), Lopetegui (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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