La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla2 - 3Alaves
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing de Ferrol 1-2 Sevilla
Sunday, January 7 at 3pm in Copa del Rey
Sunday, January 7 at 3pm in Copa del Rey
We said: Sevilla 2-1 Alaves
Sevilla desperately need a win, but their home record has been poor this season, picking up just 10 points from 10 matches. Alaves have struggled on their travels, though, collecting only four points from 10 games, and we are backing the hosts to secure what would be a huge three points on Friday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Alaves |
46.78% ( -0.62) | 27.42% ( -0.05) | 25.79% ( 0.67) |
| Both teams to score 45.59% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.81% ( 0.56) | 59.18% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.39% ( 0.43) | 79.61% ( -0.44) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( -0.05) | 25.34% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.87% ( -0.06) | 60.13% ( 0.06) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% ( 0.91) | 38.94% ( -0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.33% ( 0.85) | 75.66% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
Sevilla 46.77%
Alaves 25.79%
Draw 27.42%
| Sevilla | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 13.54% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.23)2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.77% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.79% |
How you voted: Sevilla vs Alaves
Sevilla
74.2%Draw
17.5%Alaves
8.2%97
Head to Head
Jan 17, 2023 8pm
Mar 4, 2022 8pm
May 23, 2021 8pm
