La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
1 - 0
Atletico

Romero (15')
Suso (70'), En-Nesyri (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Witsel (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Sevilla
Monday, February 5 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Sevilla will be full of confidence following their win over Rayo, and the hosts will also be the fresher of the two sides. Atletico are in desperate need of the points to keep themselves in the top four, though, and we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way through a tough game to secure a vital win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	Atletico Madrid
38.1% ( -0.44)	25.16% ( -0.08)	36.74% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 57.19% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.61% (

0.4)

46.39% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.33% (

0.37)

68.67% (

-0.37)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.99% (

-0.05)

24.01% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.73% (

-0.08)

58.26% (

0.07)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.26% (

0.47)

24.74% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.7% (

0.65)

59.3% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 38.1%

Atletico Madrid 36.74%

Draw 25.15%

Sevilla	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.1%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 36.74%