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La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
Atletico

Romero (15')
Suso (70'), En-Nesyri (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Witsel (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Sevilla will be full of confidence following their win over Rayo, and the hosts will also be the fresher of the two sides. Atletico are in desperate need of the points to keep themselves in the top four, though, and we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way through a tough game to secure a vital win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
38.1% (-0.439 -0.44) 25.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 36.74% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 57.19% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (0.396 0.4)46.39% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33% (0.371 0.37)68.67% (-0.37 -0.37)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)24.01% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)58.26% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (0.46899999999999 0.47)24.74% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7% (0.652 0.65)59.3% (-0.653 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 38.1%
    Atletico Madrid 36.74%
    Draw 25.15%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.033 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 36.74%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
10.4%
Draw
13.2%
Atletico Madrid
76.4%
144
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Depay (79')
Gimenez (63'), Hermoso (71'), Koke (75'), Simeone (90+5')

Torres (33'), Ramos (39'), Pedrosa (62'), Lamela (73'), Rakitic (82'), Mir (90+8')
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Llorente (46')
Molina (27'), Gimenez (38'), Witsel (77'), Correa (77'), De Paul (85'), Llorente (90+4'), Azpilicueta (90')
Soyuncu (70')

Suso (43'), Salas (68'), Ramos (83')
Aug 6, 2023 3am
Club Friendlies
Sevilla
1-1
Atletico
Mir (66')
Jordan (57')
Correa (84')
Soyuncu (33')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 24
Atletico
6-1
Sevilla
Depay (23', 26'), Griezmann (53'), Carrasco (69'), Morata (76', 90+2')
En-Nesyri (39')
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sevilla
0-2
Atletico
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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