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La Liga | Gameweek 24
Feb 11, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
1 - 0
Atletico

Romero (15')
Suso (70'), En-Nesyri (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Witsel (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Wednesday, February 7 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey

We said: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Sevilla will be full of confidence following their win over Rayo, and the hosts will also be the fresher of the two sides. Atletico are in desperate need of the points to keep themselves in the top four, though, and we are expecting Simeone's side to navigate their way through a tough game to secure a vital win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
38.1% (-0.439 -0.44) 25.16% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 36.74% (0.517 0.52)
Both teams to score 57.19% (0.317 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.61% (0.396 0.4)46.39% (-0.395 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.33% (0.371 0.37)68.67% (-0.37 -0.37)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)24.01% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)58.26% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (0.46899999999999 0.47)24.74% (-0.471 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7% (0.652 0.65)59.3% (-0.653 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 38.1%
    Atletico Madrid 36.74%
    Draw 25.15%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.05% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.88% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.81% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 38.1%
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.85% (0.086 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.96% (0.033 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 36.74%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
10.4%
Draw
13.2%
Atletico Madrid
76.4%
144
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2024 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Depay (79')
Gimenez (63'), Hermoso (71'), Koke (75'), Simeone (90+5')

Torres (33'), Ramos (39'), Pedrosa (62'), Lamela (73'), Rakitic (82'), Mir (90+8')
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 4
Atletico
1-0
Sevilla
Llorente (46')
Molina (27'), Gimenez (38'), Witsel (77'), Correa (77'), De Paul (85'), Llorente (90+4'), Azpilicueta (90')
Soyuncu (70')

Suso (43'), Salas (68'), Ramos (83')
Aug 6, 2023 3am
Club Friendlies
Sevilla
1-1
Atletico
Mir (66')
Jordan (57')
Correa (84')
Soyuncu (33')
Mar 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 24
Atletico
6-1
Sevilla
Depay (23', 26'), Griezmann (53'), Carrasco (69'), Morata (76', 90+2')
En-Nesyri (39')
Oct 1, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sevilla
0-2
Atletico
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona26183571254657
2Real Madrid27176457263157
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao271310445242149
5Villarreal26128648361244
6Real BetisBetis2711883533241
7Mallorca27107102633-737
8Rayo Vallecano279992929036
9Celta Vigo27106114041-136
10Sevilla279993236-436
11Real Sociedad27104132328-534
12Getafe2789102322133
13Osasuna2671273237-533
14GironaGirona2695123439-532
15Espanyol2576122436-1227
16Valencia2769123045-1527
17Leganes2769122440-1627
18AlavesAlaves2768133040-1026
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2766153045-1524
20Real ValladolidValladolid2744191862-4416


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