Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
34.04% ( 0.13) | 27.26% ( -0.03) | 38.69% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 49.88% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.42% ( 0.13) | 55.58% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.25% ( 0.1) | 76.75% ( -0.1) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.22% ( 0.15) | 30.78% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.95% ( 0.17) | 67.05% ( -0.17) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.06% ( 0) | 27.94% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.43% ( 0) | 63.56% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 10.13% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 34.04% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.9% Total : 38.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
6 | Villarreal | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 26 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
10 | GironaGirona | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 20 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 14 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
> La Liga Full Table |