La Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Sevilla0 - 2Real Sociedad
We said: Sevilla 1-1 Real Sociedad
Sevilla beat Real Sociedad 3-2 at Estadio Ramon last season, and there has not actually been a draw between these two sides since March 2022, but we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring affair on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.94%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 26.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-0 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Sociedad |
26.74% ( -1.14) | 28.31% ( 0.08) | 44.94% ( 1.07) |
| Both teams to score 43.93% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
