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La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Reale Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
0 - 2
Atletico


Pacheco (45+2'), Mendez (57'), Ander Olasagasti (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lino (9'), Mandava (90+3')
Vermeeren (41'), Koke (45'), Niguez (80'), Mandava (87')
Niguez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Both teams are merely playing for pride in this fixture, but they will want to end the campaign on a positive note, particularly the hosts in front of their own supporters. Atletico have got the better of Real Sociedad in recent meetings, but as there is little to separate these two evenly-matched sides at present, we can see Alguacil's men claiming at least a share of the spoils this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
41.53% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 26.43% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 32.04% (0.12 0.12)
Both teams to score 51.96% (0.176 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3% (0.205 0.2)52.7% (-0.203 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.66% (0.175 0.18)74.34% (-0.172 -0.17)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.94% (0.054000000000002 0.05)25.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.26% (0.072000000000003 0.07)59.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34% (0.187 0.19)30.66% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09% (0.21700000000001 0.22)66.91% (-0.214 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 41.52%
    Atletico Madrid 32.04%
    Draw 26.43%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.63% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.36% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.37% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 41.52%
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.37% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.12% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 32.04%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
36.7%
Draw
22.2%
Atletico Madrid
41.1%
90
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Lino (22'), Griezmann (89' pen.)
Koke (48'), Galan (90+6'), Griezmann (90+6')
Oyarzabal (73')
Le Normand (15'), Traore (86'), Fernandez (87')
Aug 3, 2023 2am
Club Friendlies
Atletico
0-0
Real Sociedad
Hermoso (33')
Zubeldia (14'), Le Normand (33'), Pacheco (54+54'), Pacheco (54')
May 28, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 37
Atletico
2-1
Real Sociedad
Griezmann (37'), Molina (73')
De Paul (60'), Hermoso (63')
Sorloth (88')
Merino (27'), Elustondo (54')
Sep 3, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 4
Real Sociedad
1-1
Atletico
Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')
May 22, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 38
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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