Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
58.66% (![]() | 24.03% (![]() | 17.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.61% (![]() | 55.38% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.41% (![]() | 76.59% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.3% (![]() | 18.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.95% (![]() | 50.05% (![]() |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.36% (![]() | 45.64% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.56% (![]() | 81.44% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 14.31% (![]() 2-0 @ 11.99% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.41% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.26% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.21% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.66% | 1-1 @ 11.22% (![]() 0-0 @ 8.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.69% ( ![]() Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.03% | 0-1 @ 6.69% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 57 |
2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 57 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 56 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 49 |
5 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 41 |
7 | Mallorca | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 37 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 36 |
10 | Sevilla | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 36 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 34 |
12 | Getafe | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 33 |
13 | Osasuna | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 33 |
14 | GironaGirona | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 32 |
15 | Espanyol | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 27 |
16 | Valencia | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 27 |
17 | Leganes | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 27 |
18 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 24 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 62 | -44 | 16 |
> La Liga Full Table |