La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
2 - 1
Real Sociedad

Griezmann (37'), Molina (73')
De Paul (60'), Hermoso (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sorloth (88')
Merino (27'), Elustondo (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Espanyol 3-3 Atletico
Wednesday, May 24 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Almeria
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Real Sociedad

Atletico are again expected to be missing a number of important players, but it is difficult to back them to lose at the moment, especially at home. Real Sociedad would be in a strong position to finish in the top four with a point on Sunday, and we are expecting the spoils to be shared here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 58.66%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (6.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
58.66% ( -0.4)	24.03% ( 0.2)	17.3% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 44.19% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.61% (

-0.48)

55.38% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.41% (

-0.39)

76.59% (

0.39)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.3% (

-0.33)

18.7% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.95% (

-0.55)

50.05% (

0.55)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.36% (

-0.04)

45.64% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.56% (

-0.03)

81.44% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 58.66%

Real Sociedad 17.3%

Draw 24.03%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 14.31% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 11.99% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 58.66%	1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.03%	0-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 17.3%