We said: Sevilla 1-3 Barcelona
Sevilla's defensive problems are a concern ahead of this match, and we are finding it really tough to back the home side to get anything from the contest. Barcelona have so much attacking talent, and we are expecting Xavi's side to make it three straight wins in relatively comfortable fashion considering the difficulty of the match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.