Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Real Sociedad | 3 | -1 | 6 |
7 | Barcelona | 2 | 3 | 4 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 4 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Espanyol | 2 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Real Valladolid | 2 | -3 | 1 |
18 | Elche | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-2 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
58.19% ( 0.3) | 21.44% ( -0.05) | 20.36% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 57.51% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.67% ( -0.14) | 40.33% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.29% ( -0.14) | 62.71% ( 0.14) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.39% ( 0.05) | 13.61% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.25% ( 0.09) | 40.75% ( -0.09) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.56% ( -0.32) | 33.43% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.93% ( -0.35) | 70.06% ( 0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 58.2% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.23% Total : 20.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |