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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Atletico Madrid logo

Sevilla
0 - 2
Atletico


Isco (11'), Delaney (31'), Gudelj (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Llorente (29'), Morata (57')
Witsel (38'), Felix (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, September 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Two sides with plenty to prove, and with defensive deficiencies to boot, we can see an exciting game here, with plenty of opportunities at both sides. We fancy Atletico Madrid to get the job done, however, with their superior attacking talent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
33.63% (0.255 0.26) 27.43% (0.096999999999998 0.1) 38.94% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 49.29% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.71% (-0.334 -0.33)56.29% (0.333 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (-0.268 -0.27)77.32% (0.27 0.27)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21%67.78% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.86% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)28.13% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18% (-0.457 -0.46)63.81% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 33.62%
    Atletico Madrid 38.93%
    Draw 27.43%
SevillaDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 7.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.93% (0.075 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 33.62%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.84% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 11.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.23% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 7.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.1% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.93%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Atletico

Sevilla
20.2%
Draw
24.8%
Atletico Madrid
55.0%
129
Head to Head
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Atletico
1-1
Sevilla
Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Atletico
2-2
Sevilla
Morata (32' pen.), Felix (36')
Felix (73'), Trippier (77')
De Jong (19'), Ocampos (43' pen.)
Carlos (31'), Kounde (31'), Navas (43'), Banega (45+1'), Gudelj (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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