MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 05:06:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Rayo Vallecano logo

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')
Garcia (45')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')
Valentin (21'), Ciss (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

Rayo deserve credit for their start to the season, and they have already put in strong away performances at Barcelona and Espanyol this term. Athletic are generally strong in front of their own fans, though, and we are expecting the Basque outfit to put another three points on the board here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawRayo Vallecano
62.28% (-0.628 -0.63) 23.58% (0.269 0.27) 14.14% (0.355 0.35)
Both teams to score 39.18% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.49% (-0.315 -0.31)58.51% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.91% (-0.247 -0.25)79.08% (0.244 0.24)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.348 -0.35)18.53% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-0.585 -0.59)49.77% (0.583 0.58)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.1% (0.355 0.35)51.9% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.06% (0.23 0.23)85.94% (-0.233 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 62.27%
    Rayo Vallecano 14.14%
    Draw 23.57%
Athletic BilbaoDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 16.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.66% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 3.49% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 14.14%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano

Athletic Bilbao
83.3%
Draw
12.1%
Rayo Vallecano
4.5%
66
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')
Sep 21, 2021 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Ciss (33' og.)
Nunez (16'), Muniain (56'), Martinez (90+5')
Garcia (5'), Falcao (90+6')
Catena (7'), Guardiola (42'), Maras (83')
Apr 14, 2019 1pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (2', 50'), Garcia (72')
Williams (90')
Moreno (45'), De Tomas (85')
Advincula (49'), Ba (68')
Advincula (52')
Oct 24, 2018 6pm
Apr 10, 2016 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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