Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Villarreal | 5 | 8 | 10 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 5 | 7 | 10 |
7 | Atletico Madrid | 5 | 5 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 5 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
62.28% (![]() | 23.58% (![]() | 14.14% (![]() |
Both teams to score 39.18% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.49% (![]() | 58.51% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.91% (![]() | 79.08% (![]() |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.47% (![]() | 18.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.23% (![]() | 49.77% (![]() |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.1% (![]() | 51.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.06% (![]() | 85.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 16.21% (![]() 2-0 @ 13.66% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.96% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.12% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 62.27% | 1-1 @ 10.63% (![]() 0-0 @ 9.62% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.94% ( ![]() Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 6.31% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.28% Total : 14.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 51 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39 | 16 | 23 | 50 |
3 | Barcelona | 23 | 15 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 25 | 39 | 48 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 44 |
5 | Villarreal | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 47 | 35 | 12 | 41 |
6 | Rayo Vallecano | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Osasuna | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 31 |
9 | GironaGirona | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 31 |
10 | Mallorca | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Getafe | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 30 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 29 |
13 | Real BetisBetis | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 29 |
14 | Sevilla | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 28 |
15 | Leganes | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 24 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 23 |
17 | Valencia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 23 |
18 | Espanyol | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 35 | -13 | 23 |
19 | AlavesAlaves | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 22 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 15 | 48 | -33 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |