Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 55.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 21.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Getafe |
55.44% ( 1.8) | 22.98% ( -0.44) | 21.59% ( -1.35) |
Both teams to score 54.17% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.37% ( 0.35) | 45.64% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.05% ( 0.34) | 67.96% ( -0.33) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( 0.77) | 16.31% ( -0.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.11% ( 1.37) | 45.89% ( -1.36) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.73% ( -1.07) | 35.27% ( 1.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.98% ( -1.13) | 72.03% ( 1.14) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Getafe |
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.3% Total : 55.44% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.98% | 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.97% Total : 21.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 38 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 31 | 11 | 20 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 33 |
5 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Mallorca | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 25 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |