Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw has a probability of 16.8% and a win for Villarreal has a probability of 12.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.49%) and 3-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Villarreal win it is 1-2 (3.55%).
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
71.08% ( -0.03) | 16.79% ( 0.03) | 12.13% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 54.82% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.39% ( -0.17) | 34.61% ( 0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.45% ( -0.2) | 56.55% ( 0.2) |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.38% ( -0.05) | 8.62% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.25% ( -0.13) | 29.75% ( 0.13) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.99% ( -0.12) | 40.01% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.34% ( -0.11) | 76.66% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Villarreal |
2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 71.08% | 1-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.79% | 1-2 @ 3.55% 0-1 @ 3.16% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.57% Total : 12.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 18 |
3 | Villarreal | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 17 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 16 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 10 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
12 | GironaGirona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
13 | Sevilla | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 9 |
14 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |