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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
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Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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La Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Villarreal logo

Real Madrid
vs.
Villarreal

Coverage of the La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Real Madrid
Sunday, September 29 at 8pm in La Liga
Next Game: Lille vs. Real Madrid
Wednesday, October 2 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Las Palmas
Monday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw has a probability of 16.8% and a win for Villarreal has a probability of 12.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.49%) and 3-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Villarreal win it is 1-2 (3.55%).

Result
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
71.08% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 16.79% (0.034000000000002 0.03) 12.13% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 54.82% (-0.138 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.39% (-0.175 -0.17)34.61% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.45% (-0.196 -0.2)56.55% (0.197 0.2)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.38% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)8.62% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.25% (-0.125 -0.13)29.75% (0.126 0.13)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.99% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)40.01% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.34% (-0.108 -0.11)76.66% (0.10799999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 71.08%
    Villarreal 12.13%
    Draw 16.79%
Real MadridDrawVillarreal
2-0 @ 10.36% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.47% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.19% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 4.75% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.54% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.04% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 71.08%
1-1 @ 7.74% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.45% (0.031 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 16.79%
1-2 @ 3.55%
0-1 @ 3.16% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.45% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 12.13%

Who will win Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Villarreal?

Real Madrid
Draw
Villarreal
Real Madrid
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Villarreal
0.0%
0
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 37
Villarreal
4-4
Real Madrid
Sorloth (39', 48', 52', 56')
Moreno (45+5'), Traore (84'), Marcelino (90+1')
Guler (14', 45+2'), Joselu (30'), Vazquez (40')
Camavinga (66'), Ceballos (86')
Dec 17, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 17
Real Madrid
4-1
Villarreal
Bellingham (25'), Rodrygo (37'), Diaz (64'), Modric (68')
Bellingham (67'), Tchouameni (83')
Luis Morales (54')
Altimira (67'), Akhomach (74'), Capoue (85')
Apr 8, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
2-3
Villarreal
Torres (16' og.), Junior (48')
Chukwueze (39', 80'), Luis Morales (70')
Jan 19, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Villarreal
2-3
Real Madrid
Capoue (4'), Chukwueze (42')
Junior (57'), Militao (69'), Ceballos (86')
Jan 7, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 16
Villarreal
2-1
Real Madrid
Pino (47'), Moreno (63' pen.)
Benzema (60' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona87012591621
2Real Madrid85301761118
3Villarreal85211715217
4Atletico MadridAtletico8440124816
5Athletic Bilbao8422128414
6Mallorca842286214
7Osasuna84221213-114
8Real BetisBetis833287112
9Rayo Vallecano824298110
10Celta Vigo83141515010
11AlavesAlaves83141112-110
12GironaGirona8233911-29
13Sevilla8233810-29
14Real Sociedad822467-18
15Getafe814356-17
16Leganes814359-47
17Espanyol8215712-57
18Valencia8125513-85
19Real ValladolidValladolid8125417-135
20Las PalmasLas Palmas8035916-73


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