Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.62%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 27.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (7.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.87%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
Result | ||
Getafe | Draw | Alaves |
41.62% ( -0.34) | 30.7% ( 0.02) | 27.68% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 38.73% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.67% ( 0.07) | 68.33% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.85% ( 0.05) | 86.15% ( -0.04) |
Getafe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% ( -0.17) | 32.61% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.85% ( -0.18) | 69.15% ( 0.19) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.47% ( 0.33) | 42.53% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.11% ( 0.28) | 78.89% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Getafe | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 15.54% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.79% Total : 41.62% | 0-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.03) 1-1 @ 13.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.36% Total : 30.69% | 0-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.11% Total : 27.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |