Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 19.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
57.02% ( -0.74) | 23.26% ( 0.12) | 19.72% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 50.46% ( 0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.83% ( 0.37) | 49.17% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.76% ( 0.34) | 71.24% ( -0.33) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.98% ( -0.13) | 17.02% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.85% ( -0.22) | 47.15% ( 0.22) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.81% ( 0.9) | 39.19% ( -0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.1% ( 0.83) | 75.9% ( -0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 57.01% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.26% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.4% Total : 19.72% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 20 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 39 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 39 |
5 | Villarreal | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 33 |
6 | Mallorca | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 28 |
8 | GironaGirona | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 28 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
10 | Osasuna | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Sevilla | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
12 | Real BetisBetis | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 24 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
16 | Getafe | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 20 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
18 | Espanyol | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 19 |
19 | Valencia | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |