La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Athletic Bilbao1 - 0Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, October 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, October 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 2-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Villarreal
There is not a huge difference in terms of the quality of these two sides, and we are expecting an open and entertaining contest on Sunday. Both managers would surely be content with a point here, and we are finding it difficult to separate them at San Mames. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
48.95% ( 0.05) | 27.15% ( 0.01) | 23.9% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.69% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
