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La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de la Cerámica
Almeria

Villarreal
2 - 1
Almeria

Baena (56'), Jackson (90+4')
Moreno (7'), Baena (50'), Torres (57')
Baena (56'), Morlanes (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Melero (31')
Akieme (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Villarreal
Thursday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 3-2 Girona
Thursday, October 20 at 6pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 3-1 Almeria

 After a tough couple of days, a home tie against newly-promoted opposition is exactly what Villarreal needed, and we expect them to get the job done here. Almeria are high on confidence and should cause one or two problems going forward, but the hosts should be able to see this one through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 68.49%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 12.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawAlmeria
68.49% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29) 18.88% (0.107 0.11) 12.62% (0.181 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.67% (0.185 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.65% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)43.34% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)65.74% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.4% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)11.59% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.43% (-0.194 -0.19)36.57% (0.19 0.19)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.05% (0.265 0.27)44.95% (-0.268 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.11% (0.213 0.21)80.89% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 68.48%
    Almeria 12.62%
    Draw 18.88%
VillarrealDrawAlmeria
2-0 @ 12.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-0 @ 11.22% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.69% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.68% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 68.48%
1-1 @ 8.98% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 18.88%
0-1 @ 4.17% (0.038 0.04)
1-2 @ 3.59% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.67% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 12.62%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Almeria

Villarreal
85.3%
Draw
10.3%
Almeria
4.4%
68
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2018 7.30pm
Villarreal
8-0
Almeria
Toko Ekambi (23', 30', 36', 47'), Bacca (45', 83' pen.), Moreno (67'), Raba (89')

Castellano (40'), Arzura (81')
Nov 1, 2018 5.30pm
Almeria
3-3
Villarreal
Chema (52' pen.), Gassama (86', 90')
Trujillo (43'), Brice Eteki (90')
Cazorla (67'), Callejon (78' og.), Chukwueze (83')
Gaspar (49')
Mar 15, 2015 11am
Almeria
0-0
Villarreal

Dos Santos (32'), Angel Corona (34'), Velez (64'), Verza (78')
Dos Santos (40')

Rukavina (15'), Antonio Dorado (23'), Costa (37'), Moreno (54'), Pina (85')
Costa (55')
> Match Report
Oct 19, 2014 8pm
Villarreal
2-0
Almeria
Uche (23', 59')
Costa (26'), Trigueros (39'), Paulista (56'), Gaspar (74'), Cheryshev (75')

Azeez (30'), Verza (80')
> Match Report
Jan 19, 2014 4pm
Villarreal
2-0
Almeria
Uche (3'), Soriano (88' pen.)
Uche (47'), Jaume (82')

Dubarbier (70')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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